August 2020

NRL Round 12 advanced statistics – Involvement Rate

Involvement Rate is an advanced statistic for rugby league that I created to identify players who have a high workload but don’t play a lot of minutes. Traditional rugby league statistics are counting stats and volume based, and the important work of middle and interchange forwards goes largely unrecognised. If you’re new to the site and want to understand how it works, I would recommend reading this post on Involvement Rate. To put it simply, it is a combination of Run % and Tackle % which shows the estimated percentage of plays that someone completed a run or tackle during...

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NRL Round 12 advanced statistics – Tackle %

Tackle % is on of three advanced statistics that I’ve created to look at player performance throughout the NRL season. If you’re new to the site, I’d recommend reading this post on Tackle %, which explains how it works and why I think it’s an imporant statistic for identifying high motor middle and interchange forwards. The idea behind it is that most tackle statistics you see are just based on volume, and mainly highlight players like Jake Friend who make a massive amount of tackles or play large minutes. Most middle forwards and interchange players play limited minutes and wouldn’t...

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NRL Round 12 advanced statistics – Run %

With Round 12 complete it’s time to look at one of my advanced statistics, Run %. For those new to the site, I’d recommend reading this post on Run % which details how it is calculated and how to use it. To summarise, it estimtes the percentage of runs that a player made during his time on the field, adjusted for an estimate of how many times thier team had the ball. After all, you can only run the ball if you team possesses it. More possessions usually equates to more runs. The idea behind it is that most statistics...

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Are the Broncos just bad, or historically bad? – NRL Round 12 2020 stats and trends

Given how historically bad Brisbane has been this season (see below), and being an unbiased New South Welshman who supports the Eels and isn’t at all adverse to sticking the boot in continually, I thought I‘d have a look to see if Anthony Seibold was at the helm of a significant season in NRL history or just a regular bad one. To do so, I wanted to plot average margin against average run metres by coach and season from 2014-2020. Using the Eye Test™, we’ve seen Brisbane repeatedly demolished through the middle of the field and be unable to return...

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