June 2023

Two areas Flanagan will need to improve for the Dragons

Just when you thought things had bottomed out for the Dragons, they seem to find a way to dig even deeper. And I’m not just talking about the drama surrounding Ben Hunt. How dire have the Dragons been this season? They’re below the Bulldogs, and I’d give the Dogs an incomplete grade given their injury issues and how young their average squad is. The Dragons don’t get the benefit of either excuse. They’re last on the ladder and have almost conceded the most points per game this season. Their match on Friday against the Warriors was another example of their...

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The most prolific referees in 2023 and team discipline

It’s been a quiet weekend in the NRL. No Origin build up, no star halfbacks asking for their release, no long standing try droughts broken. Just five games in a shortened round due to representative games. Nothing to see here. That makes it a perfect time for a quick dive into penalty and set restart counts for the 2023 season up to Round 16. If you feel that your team is unfairly targeted, or that your teams’ hated rival gets all the 50/50 calls, you might find enough evidence here to support whatever point of view you have. Keep in...

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Are errors the sole reason for the Roosters slump?

The last month has shown there’s some serious problems with the Sydney Roosters this season. Sandwiched between a two losses to Penrith with combined scores of 78-10 were a two point loss to the Dragons and a one point win over the Bulldogs. The club’s issues scoring have been well noted this season. Trent Robinson mentioned in his post-game press conference after Saturday’s embarrassing loss to Penrith that he’s aware of it and it’s something he needs to work on. “We are not scoring enough tries and we are not even pressuring teams enough at the end of sets. We...

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May efficiency update and is the Broncos defense elite?

Another month, another chance to update on how efficient each NRL team has been in attack and defense for the 2023 season. Previously I had been framing how teams perform compared to their expected points as over or performing, but I’ve had a thought based on some feedback from the April update and it’s better explained as an attacking and defensive efficiency metric than on overall performance alone. In a way I had been doing that by comparing teams expected points with actual scoring and putting teams into inefficient and efficient buckets, but this would just be extending it further....

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