LeagueEyeTest

Who are the NRL’s biggest front runners? An analysis of unanswered points scored

After a one week dalliance with meme posts in last week’s sock height analysis, which surprisingly resulted in the largest weekly audience for the site in history, the Eye Test is getting back on brand this week. Recently a suggestion was posed to the Rugby League Eye Test twitter account by friend of the site Elliott Richardson, who publishes Rugby League Monthly. He was wondering how many tries a team leading would score before they conceded one in 2021 and then for 2022. This idea really piqued my interest. We all know 2021 was absolutely cooked as a competitive season...

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Another incredibly important Eye Test investigation – a dive into NRL player sock heights

Magic Round for 2022 is over and people in rugby league are staying on brand by doing the one thing they know how do to – fix something that isn’t broken. There’s been suggestions of moving Magic Round out of Brisbane (dumb), rotating it’s location (also dumb) or having multiple Magic Rounds, which is such a galaxy brain rugby league idea that I’m surprised it hasn’t already been decided upon. Find something unique and run it often enough that it’s no longe special. But I’m not here to talk about that this week. I’m going to tackle an incredibly important...

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The statistics South Sydney are struggling with in 2022

No one expected Souths to match their performance from last year and appear in another NRL grand final. With the key losses of Wayne Bennett, Adam Reynolds and Dane Gagai, they weren’t going to be premiership favourites, but they still had enough talent across the park to have a successful season. Few also would have predicted them to be struggling the way they are currently Last week on the Eye Test we looked at the rise of the North Queensland Cowboys, who had a great start to the season and continued their march into the top four with a win...

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The numbers behind North Queensland’s improved start to the 2022 NRL season

Prior to last weekend, the North Queensland Cowboys had quietly pushed their way into the 5th place, but few considered them among the ranks of the top teams in the NRL. Their existence at the top end of the table could be put down to excuses like a soft draw or facing teams when they weren’t at full strength. All of these are valid reasons and it’s not unusual to see random teams appearing at the top of the table before regressing to the mean. This year we’ve also had the Knights start the season 2-0 before fading into obscurity,...

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Are penalties conceded more frequently by teams trailing or leading?

Last week at the Eye Test we looked at whether ladder position had an affect on teams being whistled for more penalties (narrator: it did not). Coaches were claiming that teams at the lower end of the ladder were scrutinised more than those at the top, which appears to be largely unfounded based on last weeks post. At the end of that article, I alluded to this weeks post looking at penalties being awarded to teams leading or trailing as a better view than using ladder position. And that’s exactly what we’ll be going over. One of the reasons I...

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Does ladder position dictate how many penalties are conceded by an NRL team?

There’s been a lot of chatter recently from coaches and media that games aren’t called fairly by referees, specifically that teams at the bottom end of the table aren’t treated fairly opposed to those at the top of the table. North Queensland Cowboys coach Todd Payten was the first to speak out about perceived referee bias after his side lost handily to the Sydney Roosters. “Teams that have been up the pointy end of the competition for a while now, or have high-profile players get the benefit of the doubt too often, and that’s frustrating. “That’s my opinion over watching...

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