LeagueEyeTest

Are the Wests Tigers doing anything differently under Brett Kimmorley?

I don’t think I’ve ever had an article requested as much as this post. After the Michael Potter/Trent Barrett comparison was posted a few weeks back, I lost track of the number of requests by Twitter and email to look into the Tigers performances under Brett Kimmorley as opposed to Michael Maguire. And in true Eye Test fashion I’ve not let my readers down (I hope). I’m not going to get into any substantial background on this one. Brett Kimmorley is in charge now and the Tigers scored what could their biggest win of the season against Brisbane on Saturday....

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Why are the Newcastle Knights so terrible?

It’s been an eventful weekend in rugby league, so I won’t waste any time in getting into the issue that everyone is talking about. Why is the new lighting at Accor Stadium so dark? Wait, that’s not the issue everyone is talking about? *checks notes* Ah I see, my apologies, let’s get to the *real* issue that everyone is talking about. Just why are the Newcastle Knights so terrible, especially in the second half? Two weeks ago when I ran the Eye Test over the Titans and found they aren’t really good at anything statistically, I off-handedly mentioned that that...

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What the Bulldogs are doing better under Potter

When Canterbury previously played South Sydney this season in Round 6, the Dogs succumbed 36-16 to last years grand finalists. That score was closer than the game actually was, with the Rabbitohs giving the Dogs two tries in the last ten minutes of a game they had secured shortly after half time. On Sunday they lost again, with Souths scoring 36 points again. However, this time the Dogs scored 28 of their own, and were leading until as late as the 70th minute. These two games serve as fitting examples of the differences between Canterbury’s performances under the two coaches...

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Is there anything the Gold Coast Titans do well?

Another round, another disastrous performance from the Gold Coast Titans. The fact Justin Holbrook has held on to his spot this long is solely due to his team playing in the relative obscurity of the Gold Coast with limited expectations. Had he been coaching a Sydney team, he’d be subject to more scrutiny than Michael McGuire was considering the astonishing way they’ve been losing, and the effort or lack thereof involved. There weren’t many people predicting big things from the Titans this season, given how green their spine players were and a lack of depth. After limping into the finals...

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The largest improvements and regressions in Player Contribution Rating for NRL season 2022

Last week on the Eye Test I released my Player Contribution Rating, which looks at attributing the statistical impact of players during an NRL game. If you didn’t read it, I’d highly recommend the explainer that was posted last week. It is very long but gives a good understanding of how I arrived at using this measurement and what goes into it. It also covers what type of players it does evaluate well, and those it struggles with (hookers). This week we’re continuing with a look at the 2022 season through the ETPCR lens, specifically which players have seen the...

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Explainer: Eye Test Player Contribution Rating (ETPCR) for the NRL

It’s been an up and down year here at the Eye Test. We’ve had the biggest week in the site’s history recently thanks to a post about sock heights that I expected to be one of the least read posts of the season. February saw the launching the Eye Test’s expected points model for the NRL, which had a tremendous reception. That lasted about six weeks until Round 2 when the data source I was using disappeared. Should that data ever return, so will ETxP, but for now it’s on ice. So much like the modern-day rugby league middle forward,...

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