August 2023

NRLW Round 3 in expected points and advanced stats

We’re three rounds into the season and the competition is already starting to split into the haves and have nots. The Eels obviously are firmly have nots, with the Dragons and Cowboys looking like they might join them and there’s some questions coming from the Sharks after their performance. And whilst Brisbane is 1-2, they showed enough against the Cowboys that you’d have to be very confident to predict they couldn’t make the top four from here. Let’s get into the charts and stats. Sydney Roosters v St George Illawarra For a game that was never close on the scoreboard,...

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What even are the Canberra Raiders this year?

The Canberra Raiders entered Round 23 with a point differential of -78, the 6th worst in the NRL. Their opponents were the last placed Wests Tigers, who’ve conceded more than 500 points this season and given up scores of 74, 36, 34, 18 and 32 since the first of July. It represented the best chance for the Raiders to right this number and regain some control over their finals hopes, which friend of the site Dan from the Sportress noted in his excellent match review. But he also noted that both teams are incapable of playing eighty minutes of decent...

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NRLW Round 2 in expected points and advanced stats

We’ve now had two rounds of the NRLW season and there’s only two undefeated teams remaining. League leaders the Wests Tigers have looked dominant in their two matches this season, following up their 36-8 thumping of Parramatta with a 10-0 victory over the Sharks. The other undefeated team, Gold Coast, took a more difficult route to their second win, requiring extra time to squeak past Brisbane by a single point. At the other end of the table, the Broncos are 0-2 but were more competitive against the Titans than they were the Roosters, but probably should have lost by more...

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